https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?action=history&feed=atom&title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm
Randomized weighted majority algorithm - Revision history
2025-05-25T06:44:03Z
Revision history for this page on the wiki
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Citation bot
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1190407551&oldid=prev
RobinTruax: Clarifying
2023-12-17T18:40:26Z
<p>Clarifying</p>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>In English, the less that we penalize experts for their mistakes, the more that additional experts will lead to initial mistakes but the closer we get to capturing the predictive accuracy of the best expert as time goes on. In particular, given a sufficiently low value of <math> \varepsilon </math> and enough rounds, the randomized weighted majority algorithm can get arbitrarily close to the correct prediction rate of the best expert.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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RobinTruax
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1190114495&oldid=prev
OAbot: Open access bot: doi updated in citation with #oabot.
2023-12-16T01:11:01Z
<p><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:OABOT" class="mw-redirect" title="Wikipedia:OABOT">Open access bot</a>: doi updated in citation with #oabot.</p>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> }}</ref> For instance, Varsha and Madhavu (2021) describe how the randomized weighted majority algorithm can be used to replace conventional voting within a [[random forest]] classification approach to detect insider threats. Using experimental results, they show that this approach obtained a higher level of accuracy and recall compared to the standard random forest algorithm. Moustafa et al. (2018) have studied how an [[ensemble classifier]] based on the randomized weighted majority algorithm could be used to detect bugs earlier in the software development process, after being trained on existing software repositories.</div></td>
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OAbot
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1189920811&oldid=prev
171.66.133.178: revert previously deleted link, add clearer wording in algo description
2023-12-14T21:35:46Z
<p>revert previously deleted link, add clearer wording in algo description</p>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>The randomized weighted majority algorithm is an attempt to improve the dependence of the mistake bound of the WMA on <math>m</math>. Instead of predicting based on majority vote, the weights are used as probabilities (hence the name randomized weighted majority).</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>The randomized weighted majority algorithm is an attempt to improve the dependence of the mistake bound of the WMA on <math>m</math>. Instead of predicting based on majority vote, the weights<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">,</ins> are used as probabilities<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> for choosing the experts in each round and are updated over time</ins> (hence the name randomized weighted majority).</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Precisely, if <math>w_i</math> is the weight of expert <math>i</math>,</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Precisely, if <math>w_i</math> is the weight of expert <math>i</math>,</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* [https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~avrim/ML98/lect0121 Predicting From Experts Advice]</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* [http://www.wisdom.weizmann.ac.il/~naor/COURSE/AGT/agt_dec_24th_regret.ppt Uri Feige, Robi Krauthgamer, Moni Naor. Algorithmic Game Theory]</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* [http://www.wisdom.weizmann.ac.il/~naor/COURSE/AGT/agt_dec_24th_regret.ppt Uri Feige, Robi Krauthgamer, Moni Naor. Algorithmic Game Theory]</div></td>
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https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1189900891&oldid=prev
RobinTruax: Grammatical edits and removing a few redundancies.
2023-12-14T19:09:24Z
<p>Grammatical edits and removing a few redundancies.</p>
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<td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">Revision as of 19:09, 14 December 2023</td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Suppose there are <math>n</math> experts and the best expert makes <math>m</math> mistakes.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Suppose there are <math>n</math> experts and the best expert makes <math>m</math> mistakes.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Then, the [[weighted majority algorithm]] (WMA) makes at most <math>2.4(\log_2n+ m)</math> mistakes. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Then, the [[weighted majority algorithm]] (WMA) makes at most <math>2.4(\log_2n+ m)</math> mistakes. </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>This bound is highly problematic <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">for</del> <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">cases</del> <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">with</del> highly error-prone experts. </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>This bound is highly problematic <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">in</ins> <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">the</ins> <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">case of</ins> highly error-prone experts. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Suppose, for example, the best expert makes a mistake 20% of the time; that is, in <math>N = 100</math> rounds using <math>n = 10</math> experts, the best expert makes <math>m = 20</math> mistakes. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Suppose, for example, the best expert makes a mistake 20% of the time; that is, in <math>N = 100</math> rounds using <math>n = 10</math> experts, the best expert makes <math>m = 20</math> mistakes. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Then, the [[weighted majority algorithm]] only guarantees an upper bound of <math>2.4 (\log_2 10 + 20) \approx 56</math> mistakes.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Then, the [[weighted majority algorithm]] only guarantees an upper bound of <math>2.4 (\log_2 10 + 20) \approx 56</math> mistakes.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>As this is a known limitation of the weighted majority algorithm, various strategies have been explored in order to improve the dependence on <math>m</math>. In particular, we can do better by introducing randomization. <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">We can draw</del> inspiration from the<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> randomized</del> [[Multiplicative weight update method#Randomized weighted majority algorithm|Multiplicative Weights Update Method]] algorithm,<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> where</del> we probabilistically make predictions based on how the experts have performed in the past. <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Like</del> <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">in</del> the WMA, every time an expert makes a wrong prediction, we decrement their weight. <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">However,</del> <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">in</del> MWUM, <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">instead</del> <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">of</del> <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">deterministically picking the majority vote, we</del> use the weights to make a probability distribution over the actions and draw our action from this distribution.<ref name=ref6>{{cite web |url=http://www.cs.princeton.edu/courses/archive/spr06/cos511/scribe_notes/0330.pdf |title=COS 511: Foundations of Machine Learning |date=20 March 2006}}</ref></div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>As this is a known limitation of the weighted majority algorithm, various strategies have been explored in order to improve the dependence on <math>m</math>. In particular, we can do better by introducing randomization. </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div></div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Drawing</ins> inspiration from the [[Multiplicative weight update method#Randomized weighted majority algorithm|Multiplicative Weights Update Method]] algorithm, we<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> will</ins> probabilistically make predictions based on how the experts have performed in the past. <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Similarly</ins> <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">to</ins> the WMA, every time an expert makes a wrong prediction, we<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> will</ins> decrement their weight. <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Mirroring</ins> <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">the</ins> MWUM, <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">we</ins> <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">will</ins> <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">then</ins> use the weights to make a probability distribution over the actions and draw our action from this distribution<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> (instead of deterministically picking the majority vote as the WMA does)</ins>.<ref name=ref6>{{cite web |url=http://www.cs.princeton.edu/courses/archive/spr06/cos511/scribe_notes/0330.pdf |title=COS 511: Foundations of Machine Learning |date=20 March 2006}}</ref></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Randomized weighted majority algorithm (RWMA) ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Randomized weighted majority algorithm (RWMA) ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Let <math>W_t</math> denote the total weight of all experts at round <math>t</math>. Also let <math>F_t</math> denote the fraction of weight placed on experts which predict the '''wrong''' answer at round <math>t</math>. Finally, let <math>N</math> be the total number of rounds in the process. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Let <math>W_t</math> denote the total weight of all experts at round <math>t</math>. Also let <math>F_t</math> denote the fraction of weight placed on experts which predict the '''wrong''' answer at round <math>t</math>. Finally, let <math>N</math> be the total number of rounds in the process. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>By definition, <math>F_t</math> is the probability that the algorithm makes a mistake on round <math>t</math>. It follows<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">, then,</del> from the linearity of expectation<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">,</del> that if <math>M</math> denotes the total number of mistakes made during the entire process, <math> E[M] = \sum_{t=1}^N F_t</math>. </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>By definition, <math>F_t</math> is the probability that the algorithm makes a mistake on round <math>t</math>. It follows from the linearity of expectation that if <math>M</math> denotes the total number of mistakes made during the entire process, <math> E[M] = \sum_{t=1}^N F_t</math>. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Now, notice that after</del> round <math>t</math>, the total weight is decreased by<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> </del><math>\ (1-\beta)F_tW_t</math>, since all weights corresponding to a wrong answer are multiplied by<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> </del><math>\ \beta</math>. It then follows that <math>W_{t+1} = W_t(1-(1-\beta)F_t)</math>. By telescoping, since <math>W_1 = n </math>, it follows that the total weight after the process concludes is </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">After</ins> round <math>t</math>, the total weight is decreased by<math>\ (1-\beta)F_tW_t</math>, since all weights corresponding to a wrong answer are multiplied by<math>\ \beta<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> < 1</ins></math>. It then follows that <math>W_{t+1} = W_t(1-(1-\beta)F_t)</math>. By telescoping, since <math>W_1 = n </math>, it follows that the total weight after the process concludes is </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} W=n \prod_{t=1}^N (1-(1-\beta)F_t). \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} W=n \prod_{t=1}^N (1-(1-\beta)F_t). \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} E[M] \leq \frac {m \ln(1/\beta) + \ln(n)}{1-\beta} = \frac{ \ln(1/\beta) }{1-\beta}m + \frac{1}{1-\beta}\ln(n) . \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} E[M] \leq \frac {m \ln(1/\beta) + \ln(n)}{1-\beta} = \frac{ \ln(1/\beta) }{1-\beta}m + \frac{1}{1-\beta}\ln(n) . \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td class="diff-marker" data-marker="−"></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Now, as <math>\beta \to 1</math> from below, the first constant tends to <math>1</math>; however, the second constant tends to <math>+\infty</math>. To quantify this <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">relationship</del>, define <math> \varepsilon = 1-\beta</math> to be the penalty associated with getting a prediction wrong. Then, again applying the Taylor series of the natural logarithm, </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Now, as <math>\beta \to 1</math> from below, the first constant tends to <math>1</math>; however, the second constant tends to <math>+\infty</math>. To quantify this <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">tradeoff</ins>, define <math> \varepsilon = 1-\beta</math> to be the penalty associated with getting a prediction wrong. Then, again applying the Taylor series of the natural logarithm, </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} \frac{\ln(1/\beta)}{1-\beta} = -\frac{\ln(\beta)}{1-\beta} = \frac{-\ln(1-\varepsilon)}{\varepsilon} = \frac{\varepsilon + \frac {\varepsilon^2}{2} + \frac {\varepsilon^3}{3} + \cdots}{\varepsilon} = 1 + \frac {\varepsilon}{2} + O(\varepsilon^2) \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} \frac{\ln(1/\beta)}{1-\beta} = -\frac{\ln(\beta)}{1-\beta} = \frac{-\ln(1-\varepsilon)}{\varepsilon} = \frac{\varepsilon + \frac {\varepsilon^2}{2} + \frac {\varepsilon^3}{3} + \cdots}{\varepsilon} = 1 + \frac {\varepsilon}{2} + O(\varepsilon^2) \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>It then follows that the mistake bound, for small <math> \varepsilon </math>, can be written in the form <math>\ \left(1+\frac{\epsilon}{2}+O(\varepsilon^2)\right)m + \epsilon^{-1}\ln(n)</math>. </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>It then follows that the mistake bound, for small <math> \varepsilon </math>, can be written in the form <math>\ \left(1+\frac{\epsilon}{2}+O(\varepsilon^2)\right)m + </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>\epsilon^{-1}\ln(n)</math>. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>In English, the less that we penalize experts for their mistakes, the more that additional experts will lead to initial mistakes but the closer we get to capturing the predictive accuracy of the best expert as time goes on. In particular, given a sufficiently low value of <math> \varepsilon </math> and enough rounds, the randomized weighted majority algorithm can get arbitrarily close to the correct prediction rate of the best expert.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>In English, the less that we penalize experts for their mistakes, the more that additional experts will lead to initial mistakes but the closer we get to capturing the predictive accuracy of the best expert as time goes on. In particular, given a sufficiently low value of <math> \varepsilon </math> and enough rounds, the randomized weighted majority algorithm can get arbitrarily close to the correct prediction rate of the best expert.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>In particular, by choosing</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>To establish a more concrete optimum <math>\beta</math> and more concrete bound on <math>E(M)</math> we fix <math>n</math> and <math>m</math> as constants and <math>\frac{\partial}{\partial \epsilon}\left(-\frac{\text{ln}(1 - \epsilon) m}{\epsilon} + \frac{\text{ln}(n)}{\epsilon}\right) = \frac{m (\epsilon/(1 - \epsilon) + \text{ln}(1 - \epsilon)) - \text{ln}(n)}{\epsilon^2}</math>. We notice that for <math>\epsilon</math> sufficiently close to 0 the derivative is negative, while for <math>\epsilon</math> sufficiently close to 1 the derivative is positive, furthermore, this expression is strictly increasing with respect to <math>\epsilon</math>. Thus We must have a local minimum for some <math>0<\epsilon<1</math>, specifically we see that the upper bound of <math>E(M)</math> is minimized when <math>m (\epsilon/(1 - \epsilon) + \text{ln}(1 - \epsilon)) - \text{ln}(n)=0 \iff \frac{\epsilon}{1-\epsilon}+\text{ln}(1-\epsilon)=\frac{\text{ln}(n)}{m}</math>. This final equality tells us that as m increases we want to choose a smaller <math>\epsilon</math> (ergo, larger <math>\beta</math>) to minimize expected error, while as n increases we want to choose a larger <math>\epsilon</math> (ergo, smaller <math>\beta</math>).</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} \varepsilon = \sqrt{\frac{\ln(n)}{m}} \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>we can obtain an upper bound on the number of mistakes equal to</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><div class="center"><math> \begin{align} m + O(\sqrt{m \ln(n)}). \end{align} </math></div></div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>This implies that the "regret bound" on the algorithm (that is, how much worse it performs than the best expert) is sublinear, at <math>O(\sqrt{m \ln(n)})</math>. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Revisiting the motivation ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Revisiting the motivation ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Uses of Randomized Weighted Majority Algorithm (RWMA) ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Uses of Randomized Weighted Majority Algorithm (RWMA) ==</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>The Randomized Weighted Majority Algorithm can be used to combine multiple algorithms in which case RWMA can be expected to perform nearly as well as the best of the original algorithms in hindsight.</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>The Randomized Weighted Majority Algorithm can be used to combine multiple algorithms in which case RWMA can be expected to perform nearly as well as the best of the original algorithms in hindsight<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">. Note that the RWMA can be generalized to solve problems which do not have binary mistake variables, which makes it useful for a wide class of problems</ins>.</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td class="diff-marker"><a class="mw-diff-movedpara-left" title="Paragraph was moved. Click to jump to new location." href="#movedpara_20_0_rhs">⚫</a></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><a name="movedpara_18_1_lhs"></a>Furthermore, one can apply the Randomized Weighted Majority Algorithm in situations where experts are making choices that cannot be combined (or can't be combined easily). For example, RWMA can be applied to repeated game-playing or the online shortest path problem. In the online shortest path problem, each expert is telling you a different way to drive to work. You pick one path using RWMA. Later you find out how well you would have done using all of the suggested paths and penalize appropriately<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">. To do this right, we want to generalize from "losses" of 0 or 1 to losses in [0,1]</del>. The goal is to have an expected loss not much larger than the loss of the best expert. <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> We can generalize the RWMA by applying a penalty of <math>\beta^{\text{loss}}</math> (i.e. two losses of one half result in the same weight as one loss of 1 and one loss of 0). The analysis given in the previous section does not change significantly.</del></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td class="diff-marker"><a class="mw-diff-movedpara-right" title="Paragraph was moved. Click to jump to old location." href="#movedpara_18_1_lhs">⚫</a></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div><a name="movedpara_20_0_rhs"></a>Furthermore, one can apply the Randomized Weighted Majority Algorithm in situations where experts are making choices that cannot be combined (or can't be combined easily). For example, RWMA can be applied to repeated game-playing or the online shortest path problem. In the online shortest path problem, each expert is telling you a different way to drive to work. You pick one path using RWMA. Later you find out how well you would have done using all of the suggested paths and penalize appropriately. The goal is to have an expected loss not much larger than the loss of the best expert. </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>RWMA can be generalized to cases where the problem at hand does not have binary mistake variables. Hedge algorithm can be used for instances where at each iteration all actions incur a continuous loss value.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===Applications in software=== </div></td>
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RobinTruax
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1189898268&oldid=prev
RobinTruax: /* Analysis */ Re-adding some definitions for clarity.
2023-12-14T18:47:19Z
<p><span class="autocomment">Analysis: </span> Re-adding some definitions for clarity.</p>
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<td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">Revision as of 18:47, 14 December 2023</td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Analysis ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Analysis ==</div></td>
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<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td class="diff-marker" data-marker="−"></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Let <math>W_t</math> denote the total weight <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">and</del> <math>F_t</math> denote the fraction of weight on the '''wrong''' <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">answers</del> at round <math>t</math>. By definition, <math>F_t</math> is the probability that the algorithm makes a mistake on round <math>t</math>. It follows, then, from the linearity of expectation, that if <math>M</math> denotes the total number of mistakes made during the entire process, <math> E[M] = \sum_{t=1}^N F_t</math>. </div></td>
<td class="diff-marker" data-marker="+"></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Let <math>W_t</math> denote the total weight <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">of all experts at round <math>t</math>. Also let</ins> <math>F_t</math> denote the fraction of weight<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> placed</ins> on<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> experts which predict</ins> the '''wrong''' <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">answer</ins> at round <math>t</math>. <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Finally, let <math>N</math> be the total number of rounds in the process. </ins></div></td>
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<td colspan="2" class="diff-empty diff-side-deleted"></td>
<td class="diff-marker" data-marker="+"></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div></div></td>
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<td colspan="2" class="diff-empty diff-side-deleted"></td>
<td class="diff-marker" data-marker="+"></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>By definition, <math>F_t</math> is the probability that the algorithm makes a mistake on round <math>t</math>. It follows, then, from the linearity of expectation, that if <math>M</math> denotes the total number of mistakes made during the entire process, <math> E[M] = \sum_{t=1}^N F_t</math>. </div></td>
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<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Now, notice that after round <math>t</math>, the total weight is decreased by <math>\ (1-\beta)F_tW_t</math>, since all weights corresponding to a wrong answer are multiplied by <math>\ \beta</math>. It then follows that <math>W_{t+1} = W_t(1-(1-\beta)F_t)</math>. By telescoping, since <math>W_1 = n </math>, it follows that the total weight after the process concludes is </div></td>
<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Now, notice that after round <math>t</math>, the total weight is decreased by <math>\ (1-\beta)F_tW_t</math>, since all weights corresponding to a wrong answer are multiplied by <math>\ \beta</math>. It then follows that <math>W_{t+1} = W_t(1-(1-\beta)F_t)</math>. By telescoping, since <math>W_1 = n </math>, it follows that the total weight after the process concludes is </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>In English, the less that we penalize experts for their mistakes, the more that additional experts will lead to initial mistakes but the closer we get to capturing the predictive accuracy of the best expert as time goes on. In particular, given a sufficiently low value of <math> \varepsilon </math> and enough rounds, the randomized weighted majority algorithm can get arbitrarily close to the correct prediction rate of the best expert.</div></td>
<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>In English, the less that we penalize experts for their mistakes, the more that additional experts will lead to initial mistakes but the closer we get to capturing the predictive accuracy of the best expert as time goes on. In particular, given a sufficiently low value of <math> \varepsilon </math> and enough rounds, the randomized weighted majority algorithm can get arbitrarily close to the correct prediction rate of the best expert.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<tr>
<td class="diff-marker" data-marker="−"></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>To establish a more concrete optimum <math>\beta</math> and more concrete bound on <math>E(M)</math> we fix <math>n</math> and <math>m</math> as constants and <math>\frac{\partial}{\partial \epsilon}\left(-\frac{\text{ln}(1 - \epsilon) m}{\epsilon} + \frac{\text{ln}(n)}{\epsilon}\right) = \frac{m (\epsilon/(1 - \epsilon) + \text{ln}(1 - \epsilon)) - \text{ln}(n)}{\epsilon^2}</math>. We notice that for <math>\epsilon</math> sufficiently close to 0 the derivative is negative, while for <math>\epsilon</math> sufficiently close to 1 the derivative is positive, furthermore, this expression is strictly increasing with respect to <math>\epsilon</math>. Thus We must have a local minimum for some <math>0<\epsilon<1</math>, specifically we see that the upper bound of <math>E(M)</math> is minimized when <math>m (\epsilon/(1 - \epsilon) + \text{ln}(1 - \epsilon)) - \text{ln}(n)=0 \iff \frac{\epsilon}{1-\epsilon}+\text{ln}(1-\epsilon)=\frac{\text{ln}(n)}{m}</math>. This final equality tells us that as m increases we want to choose a smaller <math>\epsilon</math> (ergo, larger <math>\beta</math>) to minimize expected error, while as n increases we want to choose a larger <math>\epsilon</math> (ergo, smaller <math>\beta</math>).<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> </del></div></td>
<td class="diff-marker" data-marker="+"></td>
<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>To establish a more concrete optimum <math>\beta</math> and more concrete bound on <math>E(M)</math> we fix <math>n</math> and <math>m</math> as constants and <math>\frac{\partial}{\partial \epsilon}\left(-\frac{\text{ln}(1 - \epsilon) m}{\epsilon} + \frac{\text{ln}(n)}{\epsilon}\right) = \frac{m (\epsilon/(1 - \epsilon) + \text{ln}(1 - \epsilon)) - \text{ln}(n)}{\epsilon^2}</math>. We notice that for <math>\epsilon</math> sufficiently close to 0 the derivative is negative, while for <math>\epsilon</math> sufficiently close to 1 the derivative is positive, furthermore, this expression is strictly increasing with respect to <math>\epsilon</math>. Thus We must have a local minimum for some <math>0<\epsilon<1</math>, specifically we see that the upper bound of <math>E(M)</math> is minimized when <math>m (\epsilon/(1 - \epsilon) + \text{ln}(1 - \epsilon)) - \text{ln}(n)=0 \iff \frac{\epsilon}{1-\epsilon}+\text{ln}(1-\epsilon)=\frac{\text{ln}(n)}{m}</math>. This final equality tells us that as m increases we want to choose a smaller <math>\epsilon</math> (ergo, larger <math>\beta</math>) to minimize expected error, while as n increases we want to choose a larger <math>\epsilon</math> (ergo, smaller <math>\beta</math>).</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
<td class="diff-marker"></td>
<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Revisiting the motivation ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Revisiting the motivation ==</div></td>
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</table>
RobinTruax
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1188994730&oldid=prev
171.66.12.95: /* Randomized weighted majority algorithm (RWMA) */
2023-12-09T00:36:21Z
<p><span class="autocomment">Randomized weighted majority algorithm (RWMA)</span></p>
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<td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">← Previous revision</td>
<td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">Revision as of 00:36, 9 December 2023</td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> for each round:</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> add all experts' weights together to obtain the total weight <math>W</math></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> add all experts' weights together to obtain the total weight <math>W</math></div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> randomly select an expert;</del> choose expert <math>i</math> with probability <math>\frac{w_i}{W}</math> </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> choose expert <math>i</math><ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> randomly</ins> with probability <math>\frac{w_i}{W}</math> </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> predict as the chosen expert predicts</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> predict as the chosen expert predicts</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> multiply the weights of all experts who predicted wrongly by <math>\beta</math></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> multiply the weights of all experts who predicted wrongly by <math>\beta</math></div></td>
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171.66.12.95
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1188871044&oldid=prev
171.66.9.79: small capitalization typo fixed
2023-12-08T05:20:42Z
<p>small capitalization typo fixed</p>
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<td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">Revision as of 05:20, 8 December 2023</td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>RWMA can be generalized to cases where the problem at hand does not have binary mistake variables. Hedge algorithm can be used for instances where at each iteration all actions incur a continuous loss value.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>RWMA can be generalized to cases where the problem at hand does not have binary mistake variables. Hedge algorithm can be used for instances where at each iteration all actions incur a continuous loss value.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===Applications in <del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Software</del>=== </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===Applications in <ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">software</ins>=== </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>The randomized weighted majority algorithm has been proposed as a new method for several practical software applications, particularly in the domains of bug detection and cyber-security.<ref name="VL21">{{cite journal</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>The randomized weighted majority algorithm has been proposed as a new method for several practical software applications, particularly in the domains of bug detection and cyber-security.<ref name="VL21">{{cite journal</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | last1 = Suresh</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | last1 = Suresh</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | pages = 2763–2774</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | doi= 10.1016/j.aej.2018.01.003</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | doi= 10.1016/j.aej.2018.01.003</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> }}</ref> For instance, Varsha and Madhavu (2021) describe how the randomized weighted majority algorithm can be used to replace conventional voting within a [[random forest]] classification approach to detect insider threats. Using experimental results, they show that this approach obtained a higher level of accuracy and recall compared to the standard random forest algorithm. Moustafa et al. (2018) have studied how an [[ensemble classifier]] based on the randomized weighted majority algorithm could be used to detect bugs earlier in the software development process, after being trained on existing software repositories.<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;"> </del></div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> }}</ref> For instance, Varsha and Madhavu (2021) describe how the randomized weighted majority algorithm can be used to replace conventional voting within a [[random forest]] classification approach to detect insider threats. Using experimental results, they show that this approach obtained a higher level of accuracy and recall compared to the standard random forest algorithm. Moustafa et al. (2018) have studied how an [[ensemble classifier]] based on the randomized weighted majority algorithm could be used to detect bugs earlier in the software development process, after being trained on existing software repositories.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Extensions ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Extensions ==</div></td>
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171.66.9.79
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1188870982&oldid=prev
171.66.9.79: Added subsection on proposed applications of the RWMA in software
2023-12-08T05:20:06Z
<p>Added subsection on proposed applications of the RWMA in software</p>
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<td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">Revision as of 05:20, 8 December 2023</td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>RWMA can be generalized to cases where the problem at hand does not have binary mistake variables. Hedge algorithm can be used for instances where at each iteration all actions incur a continuous loss value.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>RWMA can be generalized to cases where the problem at hand does not have binary mistake variables. Hedge algorithm can be used for instances where at each iteration all actions incur a continuous loss value.</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>===Applications in Software=== </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>The randomized weighted majority algorithm has been proposed as a new method for several practical software applications, particularly in the domains of bug detection and cyber-security.<ref name="VL21">{{cite journal</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | first1 = P. Varsha </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | first2 = Minu Lalitha</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | title = Insider Attack: Internal Cyber Attack Detection Using Machine Learning</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | journal = 2021 12th International Conference on Computing Communication and Networking Technologies (ICCCNT)</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | pages = 1–7</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | doi= 10.1109/ICCCNT51525.2021.9579549</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> }}</ref> <ref name="SE18">{{cite journal</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | last4 = Abougabal</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | first4 = Mohamed S.</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | title = Software bug prediction using weighted majority voting techniques</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | journal = Alexandria Engineering Journal</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | volume = 57 </div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | issue = 4</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | date = 2018</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | pages = 2763–2774</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> | doi= 10.1016/j.aej.2018.01.003</div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div> }}</ref> For instance, Varsha and Madhavu (2021) describe how the randomized weighted majority algorithm can be used to replace conventional voting within a [[random forest]] classification approach to detect insider threats. Using experimental results, they show that this approach obtained a higher level of accuracy and recall compared to the standard random forest algorithm. Moustafa et al. (2018) have studied how an [[ensemble classifier]] based on the randomized weighted majority algorithm could be used to detect bugs earlier in the software development process, after being trained on existing software repositories. </div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Extensions ==</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Extensions ==</div></td>
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171.66.9.79
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Randomized_weighted_majority_algorithm&diff=1188711067&oldid=prev
Bananasoldier: /* Motivation */ link correction
2023-12-07T05:20:55Z
<p><span class="autocomment">Motivation: </span> link correction</p>
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<td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">Revision as of 05:20, 7 December 2023</td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>Then, the [[weighted majority algorithm]] only guarantees an upper bound of <math>2.4 (\log_2 10 + 20) \approx 56</math> mistakes.</div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>As this is a known limitation of the weighted majority algorithm, various strategies have been explored in order to improve the dependence on <math>m</math>. In particular, we can do better by introducing randomization. We can draw inspiration from the randomized [[Multiplicative weight update method#Randomized weighted majority algorithm<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">[2][8]</del>|Multiplicative Weights Update Method]] algorithm, where we probabilistically make predictions based on how the experts have performed in the past. Like in the WMA, every time an expert makes a wrong prediction, we decrement their weight. However, in MWUM, instead of deterministically picking the majority vote, we use the weights to make a probability distribution over the actions and draw our action from this distribution.<ref name=ref6>{{cite web |url=http://www.cs.princeton.edu/courses/archive/spr06/cos511/scribe_notes/0330.pdf |title=COS 511: Foundations of Machine Learning |date=20 March 2006}}</ref></div></td>
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<td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>As this is a known limitation of the weighted majority algorithm, various strategies have been explored in order to improve the dependence on <math>m</math>. In particular, we can do better by introducing randomization. We can draw inspiration from the randomized [[Multiplicative weight update method#Randomized weighted majority algorithm|Multiplicative Weights Update Method]] algorithm, where we probabilistically make predictions based on how the experts have performed in the past. Like in the WMA, every time an expert makes a wrong prediction, we decrement their weight. However, in MWUM, instead of deterministically picking the majority vote, we use the weights to make a probability distribution over the actions and draw our action from this distribution.<ref name=ref6>{{cite web |url=http://www.cs.princeton.edu/courses/archive/spr06/cos511/scribe_notes/0330.pdf |title=COS 511: Foundations of Machine Learning |date=20 March 2006}}</ref></div></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></td>
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<td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>== Randomized weighted majority algorithm (RWMA) ==</div></td>
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Bananasoldier