2014 Maine gubernatorial election: Difference between revisions
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* United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing and Pipe Fitting Industry <ref name=michaudendorse /> |
* United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing and Pipe Fitting Industry <ref name=michaudendorse /> |
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* United Food and Commercial Workers <ref name=michaudendorse /> |
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* Maine State Troopers Association <ref>{cite web|url=http://stateandcapitol.bangordailynews.com/2014/05/12/michaud-receives-endorsement-from-labor-union-that-doesnt-always-support-democrats/|title=Michaud receives endorsement from labor union that doesn’t always support Democrats|publisher=Bangor Daily News |date=May 13, 2014 |accessdate=May 13, 2014}}</ref> |
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* [[Democracy for America]]<ref>http://www.democracyforamerica.com/blog/825-breaking-michaud-leads-lepage-by-four-in-new-me-gov-poll</ref> |
* [[Democracy for America]]<ref>http://www.democracyforamerica.com/blog/825-breaking-michaud-leads-lepage-by-four-in-new-me-gov-poll</ref> |
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Revision as of 14:02, 13 May 2014
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| Elections in Maine |
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The 2014 Maine gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Republican Governor Paul LePage is running for re-election to a second term in office.
The Cook Political Report,[1] Governing[2] and The Rothenberg Political Report[3] rate the race a "tossup" and Daily Kos Elections[4] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] rate the race as "lean Democratic".
Background
After a close three-way election in 2010, Republican Paul LePage, the Mayor of Waterville, was elected Governor with 38% of the vote. He beat Independent lawyer Eliot Cutler, who won 36%, and Democrat Libby Mitchell, the President of the Maine Senate, who won 19%. Republican gubernatorial nominees in Maine have failed to win a majority of the vote in 12 consecutive cycles over the last 50+ years - the longest such GOP streak in the nation.[6]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Paul LePage, incumbent Governor[7][8]
Endorsements
Paul LePage
- Rick Bennett, Maine Republican Party Chairman, former President of the Maine Senate, 2012 US Senate candidate [9]
- Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey[10]
Polling
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Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Mike Michaud, U.S. Representative[8][11]
Withdrew
- David Slagger, former Maliseet representative to the Maine House of Representatives (switched parties to the Maine Green Independent Party, then unenrolled)[12][13]
- Steve Woods, businessman, Chairman of the Yarmouth Town Council and Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (endorsed Michaud)[14][15]
Declined
- Justin Alfond, President of the Maine Senate[16]
- John Baldacci, former Governor[17]
- Emily Cain, State Senator (running for ME-02)[18]
- Matthew Dunlap, Secretary of State of Maine[16]
- Mark Eves, Speaker of the Maine House of Representatives[16]
- Jeremy Fischer, former State Representative[16]
- Janet T. Mills, Maine Attorney General[16]
- Karen Mills, Administrator of the Small Business Administration[19]
- Chellie Pingree, U.S. Representative[20]
- Hannah Pingree, former Speaker of the Maine House of Representatives[16]
Endorsements
Mike Michaud
- Politicians
- Jeffrey Evangelos, State Representative[21]
- Colleen Lachowicz, State Senator[22]
- Steve Woods, businessman, Chairman of the Yarmouth Town Council and Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 [15]
- Unions
- Maine Association of Police[23]
- Professional Fire Fighters of Maine[23]
- United Steelworkers[24]
- AFL-CIO[25]
- Maine State Employees Union Local 1989[25]
- United Auto Workers Union[25]
- Maine Credit Union League[26]
- International Association of Machinists & Aerospace Workers Local S-6[27]
- International Union for Painters and Allied Trades[25]
- International Alliance for Theatrical Stage Employees[25]
- Teamsters Local 340 [28]
- Maine Education Association [29]
- American Maritime Officers [30]
- Marine Engineers’ Beneficial Association[30]
- Masters, Mates & Pilots Union [30]
- Northern New England Laborers [31]
- Seafarers International Union [30]
- United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing and Pipe Fitting Industry [31]
- United Food and Commercial Workers [31]
- Maine State Troopers Association [32]
- Organizations
- Democracy for America[33]
- Sierra Club [29]
- EqualityMaine [34]
- Human Rights Campaign[35]
- Maine People's Alliance[36]
- Maine Conservation Voters [37]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America PAC [38]
- Victory Fund [31]
Polling
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Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Green Independent primary
Candidates
Withdrew
- David Slagger, former Maliseet representative to the Maine House of Representatives (originally declared as a Democrat, switched parties, then unenrolled)[12][39]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Eliot Cutler, lawyer, Board Member of Americans Elect and candidate for Governor in 2010[40]
- Adam Eldridge[41]
- Lee Schultheis, co-founder of Hatteras Alternative Mutual Funds[42]
- David Slagger, former Maliseet representative to the Maine House of Representatives (originally declared as a Democrat, switched parties, then unenrolled)[39]
Potential
- Shawn Moody, businessman and candidate for Governor in 2010[43]
Endorsements
Eliot Cutler
- Marpheen Chann-Berry, chair of University of Southern Maine College Democrats [44]
- Nelson Durgin, Republican Bangor City Councilor [45]
- Horace "Hoddy" Hildreth Jr., Former Republican Legislator, Son of Former Governor, and Environmentalist[46]
- Sherry Huber, Former Republican Legislator, Candidate for Governor, and Co-Founder of the Family Planning Association of Maine[47]
- Edmund Muskie Jr., son of the late Senator and United States Secretary of State Edmund Muskie[48]
- John Nutting, Former Democratic State Senator[49]
- Betsy Smith, former executive director of EqualityMaine [50]
General election
Campaign
On January 17, 2014, Eliot Cutler announced that he had challenged LePage and Michaud to a series of policy debates, with at least one to be held in each of Maine's 16 counties, over the course of the campaign. Cutler noted that neither man currently has a primary challenger and as such the field is largely set, with plenty of time to debate. Both LePage and Michaud's campaigns criticized Cutler as issuing such a challenge only to jump-start his campaign and generate attention.[51]
Cutler posted a video to his Facebook and Twitter accounts on May 5, 2014, where he responded to a voter's question about his candidacy potentially splitting the vote again. He stated that his supporters, if they felt on the night before the election that he could not win, should vote for someone else.[52]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Paul LePage (R) |
Mike Michaud (D) |
Eliot Cutler (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–6, 2014 | 754 | ± ? | 39% | 43% | 15% | — | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 23–25, 2014 | 830 | ± 3% | 40% | 40% | 14% | 1% | 5% |
| Critical Insights | April 16–23, 2014 | 601 | ± 4% | 36% | 37% | 18% | — | 8% |
| Pan Atlantic/SMS Group | March 31–April 5, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 38.6% | 37.3% | 20.3% | — | 3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 1–2, 2014 | 583 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 44% | 14% | — | 5% |
| Normington Petts | March 3–6, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 35% | 39% | 16% | <1% | 9% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | January 13–23, 2014 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 32% | 45% | 18% | — | 5% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS | November 25–30, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 36% | 37.3% | 18.3% | — | 8.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 8–11, 2013 | 964 | ± 3.2% | 36% | 38% | 15% | — | 10% |
| Critical Insights | September 27–30, 2013 | 600 | ± 4% | 30% | 33% | 24% | — | 14% |
| Maine People's Resource Center | September 8–10, 2013 | 652 | ± 3.84% | 34% | 40% | 16.8% | — | 9.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 23–25, 2013 | 953 | ± 3.2% | 35% | 39% | 18% | — | 9% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | July 11–16, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 31% | 40% | 26% | — | 3% |
| Clarity Campaigns | June 22–24, 2013 | 628 | ± 3.72% | 32% | 32% | 24% | — | 12% |
| Pan Atlantic SMS | March 11–16, 2013 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 33.5% | 22.8% | 25.6% | — | 18.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 18–20, 2013 | 1,268 | ± 2.8% | 34% | 30% | 26% | — | 10% |
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See also
References
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013.
- ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.
- ^ Ostermeier, Eric (March 6, 2014). "The Elusive Republican Majority". Smart Politics.
- ^ "LePage: I'm running for re-election". Kennebec Journal. July 2, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2013.
- ^ a b "Expanding Medicaid would be 'sinful,' LePage says". Kennebec Journal. March 13, 2014. Retrieved March 14, 2014.
- ^ http://lepage2014.com/videos/
- ^ Byrne, Matt (April 22, 2014). "N.J. Gov. Chris Christie to stump for LePage". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved April 22, 2014.
- ^ "Michaud to formally enter governor's race Thursday at Lewiston's Franco-American Center". Bangor Daily News. August 14, 2013. Retrieved August 14, 2013.
- ^ a b Stone, Matthew. "Former Maliseet rep takes 1st step toward gubernatorial bid – Capitol Incite - BDN Maine Blogs". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved February 18, 2013. Cite error: The named reference "Stone" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ Stone, Matthew (April 26, 2013). "Chellie Pingree announces she won't run for governor in 2014". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved April 27, 2013.
- ^ "Senate campaign over, Steve Woods is running for governor". Portland Press Herald. Associated Press. November 16, 2012. Retrieved November 17, 2012.
- ^ a b Koenig, Seth (August 21, 2013). "Steve Woods withdraws from Maine gubernatorial race, says Michaud 'will restore honor and integrity to the Blaine House' — Politics — Bangor Daily News — BDN Maine". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 21, 2013.
- ^ a b c d e f "Leery of third-place pattern, Democrats already have eyes on Blaine House | The Portland Press Herald / Maine Sunday Telegram". Pressherald.com. Retrieved November 27, 2012.
- ^ Demeritt, Dan (November 30, 2012). "Dan Demeritt: Baldacci best hope for Democrats in 2014 – and for LePage, too". The Portland Press Herald. Retrieved December 23, 2012.
- ^ "Sen. Emily Cain launches bid for Michaud's congressional seat". Maine Sun Journal. June 14, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
- ^ "Washington Notebook: Mills keeping options open after Cabinet post". Pressherald.com. February 17, 2013. Retrieved February 20, 2013.
- ^ Miller, Kevin. "Chellie Pingree says she won't run for Maine governor". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved April 26, 2013.
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/independent-state-rep-evangelos-endorses-michaud
- ^ https://www.facebook.com/colleenforsenate/posts/537802632949322
- ^ a b http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/firefighters-police-groups-endorse-michaud
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/steelworkers-endorse-mike-michaud-2014-maine-governor%E2%80%99s-race
- ^ a b c d e http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-governor-earns-four-key-endorsements
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-earns-maine-credit-union-league-endorsement
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/workers-throw-early-support-behind-mike-michaud-governor
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-earns-endorsement-teamsters
- ^ a b http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/michaud-earns-two-big-endorsements
- ^ a b c d http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/maritime-unions-endorse-michaud
- ^ a b c d http://www.michaud2014.com/endorsements
- ^ {cite web|url=http://stateandcapitol.bangordailynews.com/2014/05/12/michaud-receives-endorsement-from-labor-union-that-doesnt-always-support-democrats/%7Ctitle=Michaud receives endorsement from labor union that doesn’t always support Democrats|publisher=Bangor Daily News |date=May 13, 2014 |accessdate=May 13, 2014}}
- ^ http://www.democracyforamerica.com/blog/825-breaking-michaud-leads-lepage-by-four-in-new-me-gov-poll
- ^ http://www.kjonline.com/politics/Michaud_wins_endorsement_of_leading_gay_rights_group__Cutler_blasts_decision_.html?pagenum=full
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-endorses-mike-michaud-maine-governor
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/news-clips/maine-peoples-alliance-endorses-michaud
- ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2014/02/07/politics/cutler-cries-foul-after-maine-conservation-voters-endorse-michaud-for-governor/
- ^ http://www.michaud2014.com/press-releases/maine-rep-michael-michaud%E2%80%99s-evolution-choice-earns-naral-pro-choice-america-pac
- ^ a b "Maine Campaign Finance". Retrieved October 25, 2013.
- ^ "Eliot Cutler tells Portland radio show hosts that he's running for governor in 2014". Bangor Daily News. June 6, 2013. Retrieved June 6, 2013.
- ^ "Michaud's official bid for governor this week?". Kennebec Journal. June 14, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
- ^ "Michaud closer to joining governor race". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved June 28, 2013.
- ^ Mistler, Steve (July 9, 2013). "Shawn Moody making another run for gov? Maybe". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved July 9, 2013.
- ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/usm_dems_chair_for_cutler#.UuqUTvuSqSo
- ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2014/03/24/opinion/contributors/nelson-durgin-why-i-as-a-republican-will-vote-for-independent-eliot-cutler/?ref=OpinionBox
- ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/eliot_cutler_is_only_candidate_for_governor_with_deep_environmental_ties#sthash.7dO0zQQx.dpbs/
- ^ http://www.pressherald.com/opinion/Maine_Voices__Mike_Michaud_s_record_does_not_prove_he_s__evolved__on_reproductive_choice_.html
- ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/oped_muskie#.UzafE87YGJ8
- ^ http://www.cutlerformaine.com/john_nutting_endorsement#sthash.1MPHXbN8.dpbs/
- ^ http://bangordailynews.com/2013/11/18/opinion/why-one-maine-gay-rights-leaders-supports-eliot-cutler-for-governor/
- ^ "LePage and Michaud call Cutler's debate challenge a stunt". Bangor Daily News. January 17, 2014. Retrieved January 17, 2014.
- ^ "Cutler gives supporters permission to vote for someone else". Bangor Daily News. May 6, 2014. Retrieved May 6, 2014.