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Cyclone Robyn (2024)

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This article is about the 2024 Australian region tropical cyclone. For other storms of the same name, see List of storms named Robyn.
Tropical Cyclone Robyn
Robyn at peak intensity on 28 November
Meteorological history
Formed18 November 2024
Dissipated30 November 2024
Category 2 tropical cyclone
10-minute sustained (BOM)
Highest winds100 km/h (65 mph)
Lowest pressure985 hPa (mbar); 29.09 inHg
Tropical storm
1-minute sustained (SSHWS/JTWC)
Highest winds100 km/h (65 mph)
Lowest pressure988 hPa (mbar); 29.18 inHg
Overall effects
Fatalities41 total
Injuries109
Missing4
Damage>$213,000 (2024 USD)
Areas affectedSumatra, Java, Cocos Islands
Part of the 2024–25 Australian region cyclone season

Tropical Cyclone Robyn was a deadly and erratic tropical cyclone that contributed towards heavy rains and flooding throughout the Indonesian islands of Sumatra and Java in November 2024. Robyn was the first tropical system to form during the 2024–25 Australian region cyclone season.

Meteorological history

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Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
Saffir–Simpson scale
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
triangle Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

By early November 2024, a moderately active Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) moved eastwards into the Indian Ocean, aligning with an equatorial Rossby wave.[1][2] On 14 November, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) noted that a tropical low could may form to the west of Sumatra, Indonesia, and pre-designated it as 01U.[3] This came into fruition 9 days later, when both the BoM and the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) reported that the system had formed approximately 350 nmi (650 km; 400 mi) to the northwest of Cocos (Keeling) Islands, aided by a westerly wind burst that also contributed to the formation of Cyclone Fengal.[2][4] Moving generally to the southeast, the low struggled to organize under an environment of moderate to high vertical wind shear, offset by 29–30 °C (84–86 °F) sea surface temperatures and improving vorticity signature.[5] At 20:30 UTC on 26 November, the JTWC issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert on 01U, as an ASCAT pass revealed gale-force winds wrapping the southwest of the low's strengthening but still disorganized low-level circulation centre.[6] By 15:00 UTC the next day, the JTWC upgraded the low into a tropical storm in the Saffir-Simpson scale, noting a well-defined but partially exposed centre.[7] The BoM would not follow suit until early 28 November, when the cyclone gained gale-force winds throughout its entire quadrant, becoming a category 1 tropical cyclone in the Australian scale and earning the name Robyn.[2]

By 12:00 that same day, both the BoM and JTWC reported that Robyn reached its peak intensity, becoming a category 2 tropical cyclone with 10-minute sustained winds of 55 knots (102 km/h; 63 mph).[2][8] However, strong wind shear and significant mid-level dry air entrainment made the system to rapidly weaken, prompting the BoM to downgrade Robyn to a category 1 tropical cyclone by 29 November.[9][8] Six hours later, the BoM downgraded Robyn below tropical cyclone intensity,[2] before issuing their final advisory at 12:00 UTC that same day.[10] The JTWC followed suit three hours later, noting that the system had rapidly weakened, with a fully exposed centre.[11] The remnants of Robyn then drifted westward, moving out of the Australian area of responsibility in early December.[2]

Preparations and impact

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Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) warned of heavy rains from 01U across Sumatra and Java, and that much of Indonesia's coastline could experience waves of up to 1.25–2.5 m (4.1–8.2 ft), with waves of 2.5–4 m (8.2–13.1 ft) expected along the coastlines of western Sumatra, Banten in Java, and at the Sunda Strait.[12]

Heavy rains killed ten people in Karo Regency, North Sumatra,[13] including nine from one landslide alone.[14] In Padang Lawas Regency flooding killed five people and destroyed two houses.[15] In Sibolangit, flooding caused four deaths, injured nine and left two missing by 24 November.[16] On 26 November, a landslide occurred in the town, killing nine and injuring 24.[17][18] Severe flooding in South Tapanuli Regency killed two people, injured 76, destroyed 16 houses and damaged 345 others, with three villages recording severe damage.[19][20][21] In Medan, floodwaters damaged 7,699 homes, affecting 24,874 residents.[22] Damage of the flooding in North Aceh Regency was Rp3.4 billion (US$213,000).[23]

In Lima Puluh Kota Regency, West Sumatra, flooding killed two people and destroyed three houses.[24] A child drowned at Subulussalam, Aceh, where 17 villages were flooded.[25] Additionally, four people were killed by a landslide in Purworejo Regency[26] and a man died after a river overflowed at Semarang, Central Java.[27] Landslides also damaged 209 houses in Cianjur, West Java.[28] The Citarum River overflowed in Bandung Regency, flooding 30 villages and damaging 2,000 homes.[29] In Malang Regency, East Java, floodwaters killed two students,[30] while a man died of electrocution.[31]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Madden-Jullian Oscillation moves to Indian Ocean (Report). Tropical Climate Update. Bureau of Meteorology. 12 November 2024. Archived from the original on 12 November 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2025.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Paterson, Linda (23 January 2025). Tropical Cyclone Robyn (01U) (Report). Tropical Cyclone Report. Perth, Western Australia: Australian Bureau of Meteorology. Retrieved 18 April 2025.
  3. ^ Tropical cyclone 7 day forecast 08:20 am UTC 14 November 2024 (Report). Bureau of Meteorology. 14 November 2024. Archived from the original on 15 November 2024. Retrieved 24 November 2024.
  4. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Indian Ocean, 18Z 23 November 2024 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 23 November 2024. Archived from the original on 23 November 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2025.
  5. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Indian Ocean, 18Z 25 November 2024 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 25 November 2024. Archived from the original on 25 November 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2025.
  6. ^ Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (Invest 96S) (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 26 November 2024. Archived from the original on 26 November 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2025.
  7. ^ Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 03S (Three) Warning No. 1 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 27 November 2024. Archived from the original on 27 November 2024. Retrieved 28 May 2025.
  8. ^ a b Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Cyclone 03S (Robyn) Warning No. 4 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 29 November 2024. Archived from the original on 29 November 2024. Retrieved 28 May 2025.
  9. ^ Western Region Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin issued at 0101 UTC 29/11/2024 (Report). Australian Bureau of Meteorology. 29 November 2024. Archived from the original on 2 March 2025. Retrieved 28 May 2025.
  10. ^ Western Region Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin issued at 1239 UTC 29/11/2024 (Report). Australian Bureau of Meteorology. 29 November 2024. Archived from the original on 2 March 2025. Retrieved 28 May 2025.
  11. ^ Tropical Cyclone 03S (Robyn) Warning No. 5 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 29 November 2024. Archived from the original on 29 November 2024. Retrieved 28 May 2025.
  12. ^ "Ada Bibit Siklon Tropis 96S di Indonesia, Berdampak Hujan Lebat dan Gelombang Tinggi di Wilayah Ini". Kompas (in Indonesian). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  13. ^ "Bencana Banjir Bandang dan Tanah Longsor yang Melanda Sejumlah Wilayah di Provinsi Sumatra Utara". Berita Senator (in Indonesian). 28 November 2024. Retrieved 28 November 2024.
  14. ^ "9 orang meninggal & satu hilang akibat longsor di Karo Sumut" (in Indonesian). Antara. 25 November 2024. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  15. ^ "5 Orang Tewas Akibat Banjir dan Longsor Telan Korban Jiwa di Padanglawas Sumatera Utara". TribunNews (in Indonesian). 25 November 2024. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  16. ^ "Banjir bandang di Deli Serdang telan korban jiwa" (in Indonesian). Antara. 24 November 2024. Retrieved 24 November 2024.
  17. ^ "2 Wanita Korban Longsor di Sibolangit Ditemukan Tewas". detik.com (in Indonesian). 28 November 2024. Retrieved 28 November 2024.
  18. ^ "RS Adam Malik: 24 orang korban longsor Sibolangit sudah dirawat" (in Indonesian). Antara. 27 November 2024. Retrieved 27 November 2024.
  19. ^ "Banjir Bandang Di Tapsel, 2 Tewas Dan 3 Desa Rusak Parah". Waspada (in Indonesian). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  20. ^ "Banjir Bandang Tapsel: 2 Orang Tewas, 76 Terluka, Ratusan Bangunan Rusak". Kompas (in Indonesian). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  21. ^ "NAMA-Nama 6 Korban Meninggal Tertimbun Longsor di Palas dan Banjir di Tapsel, Ada Bayi 5 Bulan". TribunNews (in Indonesian). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  22. ^ "BPBD Kota Medan: 24.874 warga terdampak banjir akibat luapan sungai" (in Indonesian). Antara. 28 November 2024. Retrieved 28 November 2024.
  23. ^ Furna, Putri Zuhra (2 December 2024). "Tujuh Sekolah di Aceh Utara Terendam Banjir, Kerugian Rp 3,4 Miliar". AJNN.net (in Indonesian). Retrieved 3 December 2024.
  24. ^ "Korban Terakhir Banjir Bandang di Guguak Lima Puluh Kota Sumbar Berhasil Ditemukan". TribunNews (in Indonesian). 26 November 2024. Retrieved 26 November 2024.
  25. ^ "Balita Meninggal Tenggelam Dalam Musibah Banjir Subulussalam". TribunNews (in Indonesian). 19 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  26. ^ "Satu Keluarga di Purworejo Tewas Akibat Bencana Longsor". Republika (in Indonesian). 19 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  27. ^ "Mahasiswa Akpelni Semarang Ditemukan Meninggal di Banjir Kanal Barat Setelah Hanyut Tiga Hari". TribunNews (in Indonesian). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  28. ^ "Bencana Tanah Bergerak di Cianjur, 209 Rumah Rusak, Pemerintah Tetapkan Status Tanggap Darurat". TribunNews (in Indonesian). 25 November 2024. Retrieved 25 November 2024.
  29. ^ "Banjir Luapan Sungai Citarum Bandung, 3.000 Jiwa Terdampak". Kompas (in Indonesian). 23 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  30. ^ "Dua Siswa SD di Malang Tewas Tenggelam di Kubangan Air Hujan". Kompas (in Indonesian). 26 November 2024. Retrieved 26 November 2024.
  31. ^ "Tragedi Banjir Malang: Warga Meninggal Tersengat Listrik". Batik (in Indonesian). 29 November 2024. Retrieved 29 November 2024.
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