2008 Opinion polling for the United States Senate elections

Template:Future election in the United States

This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) Senate elections, 2008. The National Journal/Hotline rankings are based on predictions of the likelihood of seat switching party control.

Opinion polling

Democratic Incumbents

Iowa

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 19
Incumbent: Tom Harkin

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Tom Harkin	Republican: Christopher Reed
Rasmussen Reports	June 10, 2008	53%	37%
Research 2000	April 21-23, 2008	59%	20%

Louisiana

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 5
Incumbent: Mary Landrieu

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Mary Landrieu	Republican: John Kennedy
Rasmussen Reports	May 28, 2008	47%	44%
Mellman Group	May 17-20, 2008	49%	33%
Southern Media & Opinion Research	March 26 - April 9, 2008	50%	38%
Survey USA	December 6-10, 2007	46%	42%
Zogby International	November 29, 2007	38%	45%

Massachusetts

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 25
Incumbent: John Kerry

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: John Kerry	Republican: Jeff Beatty
Rasmussen Reports	May 28,2008	63%	25%
Rasmussen Reports	April 22,2008	55%	30%
Zogby International	July 8,2007	58%	23%

Michigan

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 26
Incumbent: Carl Levin

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Carl Levin	Republican: Jack Hoogendyk
Rasmussen Reports	June 11, 2008	55%	35%
Rasmussen Reports	May 7, 2008	54%	37%

New Jersey

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 13
Incumbent: Frank Lautenberg

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Frank Lautenberg	Republican: Dick Zimmer
Quinnipiac University	June 5-8, 2008	47%	38%
Rasmussen Reports	June 4, 2008	45%	44%

South Dakota

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 14
Incumbent: Tim Johnson

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Tim Johnson	Republican: Joel Dykstra
Rasmussen Reports	March 4, 2008	63%	28%

Republican Incumbents

Alabama

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 23
Incumbent: Jeff Sessions

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Vivian Davis Figures	Republican: Jeff Sessions
Rasmussen Reports	May 27, 2008	29%	62%
Rasmussen Reports	April 2, 2008	36%	57%
Rasmussen Reports	November 14, 2007	30%	62%
SurveyUSA	August 25 - 27, 2007	37%	59%

Alaska

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 9
Incumbent: Ted Stevens

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Mark Begich	Republican: Ted Stevens
Rasmussen Reports	June 16,2008	44%	46%
Rasmussen Reports	May 14,2008	47%	45%
Research 2000	May 12 - 14, 2008	48%	43%
Hellenthal & Associates, DSCC	May 6 - 10, 2008	51%	44%
Rasmussen Reports	April 7, 2008	45%	46%
Research 2000	December 3 - 6, 2007	47%	41%

Colorado

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 4
Incumbent: None

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Mark Udall	Republican: Bob Schaffer
Rasmussen Reports	May 19, 2008	47%	41%
Rasmussen Reports	April 16, 2008	45%	42%
New Leadership USA/TargetPoint	March 31-April 7, 2008	45%	45%
Rasmussen Reports	March 17, 2008	46%	43%
McLaughlin & Associates/ Coalition for a Democratic Workplace	March 6-March 9, 2008	44%	32%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11, 2008	43%	44%
Research for Change	December 3-December 5, 2007	39%	37%
Rasmussen Reports	November 28, 2007	41%	42%
SurveyUSA	October 27-October 30, 2007	48%	41%
Ciruli Associates	September 12-September 15, 2007	36%	35%
Hill Research Consultants	August 26-August 28, 2007	45%	40%

Georgia

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 21
Incumbent: Saxby Chambliss

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Dale Cardwell/Vernon Jones/Jim Martin/Rand Knight/Josh Lanier	Republican: Saxby Chambliss
Rasmussen Reports	June 4, 2008	37% 33% 36%	52% 56% 52%
Strategic Vision	May 9-May 11, 2008	27% 29% no data 25% 24%	57% 58% no data 58% 57%
Rasmussen Reports	May 6, 2008	37% 30% 33%	51% 58% 54%
Rasmussen Reports	March 20, 2008	36% 30% 33%	52% 56% 51%

Idaho

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 20
Incumbent: None

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Larry LaRocco	Republican: Jim Risch
Robinson Research	November 26-December 12, 2007	27%	46%
Myers Research	November 13-November 19, 2007	34%	48%
Survey USA	September 6-September 8, 2007	36%	52%

Kansas

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 29
Incumbent: Pat Roberts

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Jim Slattery	Republican: Pat Roberts
Rasmussen Reports	June 11, 2008	39%	48%
Cooper & Secrest	June 5-June 8, 2008	36%	48%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	June 2-June 4, 2008	38%	50%
Rasmussen Reports	May 13, 2008	40%	52%

Kentucky

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 11
Incumbent: Minority Leader Mitch McConnell

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Bruce Lunsford	Republican: Mitch McConnell
Survey USA	June 13-June 16, 2008	46%	50%
Rasmussen Reports	May 22, 2008	49%	44%
Voter/Consumer Research	May 21-May 22, 2008	39%	50%
Research 2000/ Lexington Herald-Leader/ WKYT-TV	May 7-May 9, 2008	36%	48%
Voter/Consumer Research	January 6-January 8, 2008	37%	52%

Maine

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 7
Incumbent: Susan Collins

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Tom Allen	Republican: Susan Collins
Rasmussen Reports	May 14, 2008	42%	52%
Rasmussen Reports	April 1, 2008	38%	54%
McLaughlin & Associates/ Coalition for a Democratic Workforce	March 6-March 9, 2008	31%	54%
Critical Insights	October 12-October 30, 2007	34%	54%
Survey USA	October 26-October 29, 2007	38%	55%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	October 15-October 17, 2007	33%	56%

Minnesota

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 6
Incumbent: Norm Coleman

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Al Franken	Republican: Norm Coleman
Survey USA	June 10-June 12, 2008	40%	52%
Rasmussen Reports	June 11, 2008	45%	48%
Rasmussen Reports	May 22, 2008	45%	47%
Minneapolis Star-Tribune	May 12-May 15, 2008	44%	51%
Survey USA	April 30-May 1, 2008	42%	52%
Rasmussen Reports	April 22, 2008	43%	50%
Rasmussen Reports	March 19, 2008	46%	48%
Survey USA	March 12, 2008	41%	51%
McLaughlin & Associates	March 6-March 9, 2008	40%	46%
Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute for Public Affairs	January 20-January 27, 2008	43%	40%
Minnesota Public Radio/Mason Dixon	May 7-May 9, 2007	32%	54%

Mississippi

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 32
Incumbent: Thad Cochran

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Erik Fleming	Republican: Thad Cochran
Rasmussen Reports	May 27,2008	35%	58%

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 10
Incumbent: Roger Wicker(Special Election to Fill Trent Lott's Remaining Term)

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Ronnie Musgrove	Republican: Roger Wicker
Rasmussen Reports	May 27,2008	47%	46%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	May 19-May 21, 2008	42%	46%
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee/ Hamiliton Campaigns	May 15-May 18,2008	48%	40%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	December 10-December 12, 2007	39%	47%

Nebraska

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 15
Incumbent: None

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Scott Kleeb	Republican: Mike Johanns
Research 2000/Daily Kos	May 19-May 21, 2008	31%	58%
Rasmussen Reports	May 15, 2008	40%	55%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	November 12-November 14, 2007	28%	59%

New Hampshire

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 3
Incumbent: John Sununu

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Jeanne Shaheen	Republican: John Sununu
Rasmussen Reports	May 21, 2008	50%	43%
Dartmouth College	April 28-May 2, 2008	46%	36%
Rasmussen Reports	April 30, 2008	51%	43%
University of New Hampshire	April 25-April 30, 2008	52%	40%
American Research Group	March 14-March 17, 2008	47%	33%
Rasmussen Reports	March 16, 2008	49%	41%
University of New Hampshire	January 18-January 27, 2008	55%	37%
Survey USA	October 26-October 29, 2007	53%	42%

New Mexico

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 2
Incumbent: None

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Tom Udall	Republican: Steve Pearce
Survey USA	May 30-June 1, 2008	60%	35%
Rasmussen Reports	May 14, 2008	53%	37%
Survey USA	May 12-May 14, 2008	60%	36%
Rasmussen Reports	April 8, 2008	54%	40%
New Mexico State University	January 22-January 31, 2008	53%	31%
Survey USA	November 16-November 19, 2007	54%	40%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	November 5-November 7, 2007	54%	37%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates	October 23-October 27, 2007	50%	33%

North Carolina

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 12
Incumbent: Elizabeth Dole

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Kay Hagan	Republican: Elizabeth Dole
Rasmussen Reports	June 10,2008	39%	53%
Anzalone Liszt Research	June 4,2008	44%	48%
Public Policy Polling	May 28-May 29, 2008	39%	47%
Survey USA	May 17-May 19, 2008	46%	50%
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	May 14-May 17, 2008	43%	45%
Public Policy Polling	May 8-May 9, 2008	43%	48%
Rasmussen Reports	May 8, 2008	48%	47%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	April 28-April 30 , 2008	41%	48%
Rasmussen Reports	April 10, 2008	39%	52%
Public Policy Polling	February 18, 2008	33%	50%

Oklahoma

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 17
Incumbent: Jim Inhofe

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Andrew Rice	Republican: Jim Inhofe
Research 2000/Daily Kos	June 9-June 11, 2008	31%	53%
Tulsa World/KOTV/SoonerPoll	December 16-December 19, 2007	19%	60%
Benenson Strategy Group	December 8-December 12, 2007	35%	49%

Oregon

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 8
Incumbent: Gordon Smith

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Jeff Merkley	Republican: Gordon Smith
Rasmussen Reports	June 11, 2008	38%	47%
Feldman Group/ Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee	May 12-May 16, 2008	42%	45%
Rasmussen Reports	May 7, 2008	42%	45%
Rasmussen Reports	February 13, 2007	30%	48%

Tennessee

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 30
Incumbent: Lamar Alexander

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Mike Padgett/Bob Tuke	Republican: Lamar Alexander
Rasmussen Reports	April 3, 2008	31% 30%	58% 59%
Ayers, McHenry & Associates	March 5-March 9, 2008	31% 28%	58% 59%

Texas

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 16
Incumbent: John Cornyn

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Rick Noriega	Republican: John Cornyn
Rasmussen Reports	June 2,2008	35%	52%
Baselice & Associates	May 20 - May 25, 2008	33%	49%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	May 5 - May 7, 2008	44%	48%
Rasmussen Reports	May 1, 2008	43%	47%
Research 2000	September 24 - 26, 2007	35%	51%
Rasmussen	September 18, 2007	30%	53%

Virginia

National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 1
Incumbent: None

Poll Source	Dates administered	Democrat: Mark Warner	Republican: Jim Gilmore
Rasmussen Reports	June 16, 2008	60%	33%
Rasmussen Reports	May 8, 2008	55%	37%
Rasmussen Reports	April 1, 2008	55%	39%
Rasmussen Reports	February 21, 2008	57%	37%
Rasmussen Reports	January 3, 2008	53%	38%
SurveyUSA	November 5, 2007	57%	35%
Rasmussen Reports	October 30, 2007	53%	37%
Washington Post	October 12, 2007	61%	31%
Christopher Newport University	October 1, 2007	51%	27%
Survey USA	September 17, 2007	60%	32%
Rasmussen Reports	September 6, 2007	54%	34%

Senate Primary Polling

Georgia Democratic Primary winner: To be determined
Primary Date: July 15 2008

Poll source	Date	Highlights
InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion	May 11 2008	Vernon Jones 21%, Dale Cardwell 14%, Josh Lanier 5%, Jim Martin 3%, Rand Knight 1%, Undecided 56%
Strategic Vision	May 9 - May 11 2008	Vernon Jones 28%, Dale Cardwell 20%, Jim Martin 15%, Rand Knight 11%, Josh Lanier 5%, Undecided 21%

Massachusetts Democratic Primary winner: To be determined
Primary Date: September 16 2008

Poll source	Date	Highlights
Survey USA	May 17 - May 19 2008	John Kerry 68%, Ed O'Reilly 22%, Undecided 10%

Other 2008 Senate Races

Incumbents in Bold

State	Primary Date	Democrat	Republican	Independent
Arkansas National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 24	May 20, 2008	Mark Pryor	None	Rebekeh Kennedy(Green)
Delaware National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 31	September 9, 2008	Joe Biden	None	None
Illinois National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 28	February 5, 2008	Richard Durbin	Steve Sauerberg	None
Montana National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 18	June 3, 2008	Max Baucus	Bob Kelleher	None
Rhode Island National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 36	September 9, 2008	Jack Reed Chris Young	None	None
South Carolina National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 22	June 10, 2008	Bob Conley	Lindsey Graham	None
West Virginia National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 27	May 13, 2008	Jay Rockefeller	Jay Wolfe	None
Wyoming National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 35	August 19, 2008	None	Michael Enzi	None
Wyoming Special Election to Fill the Late Craig Thomas's Remaining 4 years National Journal/Hotline Ranking # 34	August 19, 2008	None	John Barrasso	None

Predicted Results Based on Polling and Predictions

Projected Composition of the 111th Congress: Democrats: 55(+6), Republicans: 43(-6), Independents: 2, Too Close to Call: 0

Republican Holds

Democratic Holds

Swing Seats

CO-Mark Udall (Democratic Gain)
- Wayne Allard(R) Retiring
KY-Bruce Lunsford (Democratic Gain)
- Mitch McConnell(R) Incumbent
MS-Ronnie Musgrove (Democratic Gain)
- Roger Wicker (R) Incumbent
NH-Jeanne Shaheen (Democratic Gain)
- John Sununu (R) Incumbent
NM-Tom Udall (Democratic Gain)
- Pete Domenici (R) Retiring
VA-Mark Warner (Democratic Gain)
- John Warner (R) Retiring

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