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Expert Political Judgment

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First edition
(publ. Princeton University Press)

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? is a 2005 book by Philip E. Tetlock. The book mentions how experts are often no better at making predictions than most other people, and how when they are wrong, they are rarely held accountable.[1][2]

References

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  1. ^ Menand, Louis (28 November 2005). "Everybody's an Expert - The New Yorker". Newyorker.com. Archived from the original on 2025-05-24. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
  2. ^ Kokotajlo, Daniel (2019-02-07). "Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post". AI Impacts. Archived from the original on 2025-05-24. Retrieved 2025-05-24.